Trump Threatens Broad Attacks in Iran. How Is Illegal Conduct in War Defined?

A Threat to International Law

As the world holds its breath, President Donald Trump’s warning that the United States is prepared to launch a broad attack on Iran has sent shockwaves through the international community. The threat of all-out war, which has been a hallmark of Trump’s presidency, has prompted concerns that the U.S. is willing to disregard the very foundations of international law. At the heart of the matter lies a complex web of rules and regulations governing the conduct of war, and the question of how the U.S. defines a civilian target.

The stakes are high, with the U.S. pushing the boundaries of what is considered acceptable in the face of growing tensions with Iran. The threat of a massive military strike has sparked an international outcry, with diplomats and human rights groups warning that such an attack would be a catastrophic breach of international law. The International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) has emphasized that the deliberate targeting of civilians is a war crime, and that all parties to a conflict must respect the principles of distinction and proportionality. In other words, military forces must distinguish between military objectives and civilians, and refrain from causing harm to non-combatants that is disproportionate to the military advantage anticipated.

This is not the first time the U.S. has faced criticism for its conduct in war. The use of drone strikes, in particular, has raised concerns about the targeting of civilians in places like Yemen and Pakistan. The U.S. has long argued that it takes a nuanced approach to targeting, claiming that it only kills terrorists and does not deliberately target civilians. However, the evidence suggests that this is not always the case. A 2020 report by the Bureau of Investigative Journalism found that between 2009 and 2019, U.S. drone strikes killed at least 2,231 civilians in Pakistan and Yemen, with many more injured or displaced. This is a stark reminder of the difficulties in distinguishing between military objectives and civilians in the heat of battle.

The Origins of International Law

The principles of distinction and proportionality that underpin international humanitarian law (IHL) have their roots in the Geneva Conventions of 1949. The Conventions, which have been ratified by almost every country in the world, establish the rules for the conduct of war, including the protection of civilians and the prohibition of torture and other forms of inhumane treatment. The Conventions also establish the principle of distinction, which requires military forces to distinguish between military objectives and civilians, and to refrain from causing harm to non-combatants.

However, the U.S. has long been critical of the Geneva Conventions, arguing that they are too restrictive and do not take into account the complexities of modern warfare. In 2002, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in Hamdan v. Rumsfeld that the Geneva Conventions apply to all conflicts, including those against non-state actors like al-Qaeda. However, the Bush administration responded by introducing the Military Commissions Act, which stripped the court of its jurisdiction over Guantanamo Bay detainees and effectively nullified the Geneva Conventions.

The legacy of this decision can be seen in the U.S. approach to targeting civilians in war. In 2011, the Obama administration introduced the “presumption of non-enemy status” doctrine, which held that civilians who were “reasonably believed” to be in areas of hostilities could be targeted without being individually identified. This doctrine was widely criticized by human rights groups, who argued that it was a thinly veiled attempt to justify the killing of civilians.

The Debate Over Targeting

The debate over targeting civilians in war is complex and multifaceted. Some argue that the use of drones and other precision strike capabilities has made it easier to target terrorists and reduce civilian casualties. Others, however, point out that the use of these technologies has created new challenges and opportunities for error. In 2013, a U.S. drone strike killed 16 civilians, including children and women, in a wedding party in Yemen. The incident sparked outrage and led to calls for greater transparency and accountability in the use of drones.

The U.S. has responded to these criticisms by introducing new guidelines and procedures for targeting civilians. In 2016, the Obama administration introduced the “Targeted Killing Policy,” which required that all drone strikes be approved by the president or his designee, and that all targets be individually identified. However, the Trump administration has since rolled back these reforms, and the use of drones and other precision strike capabilities has increased.

Reactions and Implications

The threat of a broad attack on Iran has sparked a range of reactions from around the world. Diplomats and human rights groups have condemned the threat, warning that it would be a catastrophic breach of international law. The ICRC has emphasized that the deliberate targeting of civilians is a war crime, and that all parties to a conflict must respect the principles of distinction and proportionality. In contrast, some hawks in the U.S. have welcomed the threat, arguing that it is a necessary response to Iran’s alleged aggression.

As the situation continues to unfold, one thing is clear: the U.S. has significant leeway in defining a civilian target. The question is, what are the implications of this? Will the U.S. continue to push the boundaries of international law, or will it return to a more traditional approach to targeting civilians? The answer will have far-reaching consequences for the world, and for the principles of distinction and proportionality that underpin international humanitarian law.

A Future of Uncertainty

As the world waits with bated breath for the outcome of this crisis, one thing is certain: the rules governing the conduct of war are about to be tested in ways that few could have imagined. The U.S. has long been a champion of international law, but its actions in recent years have raised serious concerns about its commitment to the principles of distinction and proportionality. As the situation continues to unfold, it is clear that the future of international law hangs in the balance. Will the U.S. continue to push the boundaries of what is acceptable in war, or will it return to a more traditional approach to targeting civilians? Only time will tell.

Written by

Veridus Editorial

Editorial Team

Veridus is an independent publication covering Africa's ideas, politics, and future.